Carlisle Companies (CSL), TransDigm (TDG), and Amazon (AMZN) are my top watchlist picks for high-conviction, long-term value in the current market. CSL offers a 28.5% ROIC, trades at 17.3x earnings, and targets $40 EPS under Vision 2030, despite cyclical headwinds in construction. TDG's PE-like model, 75% aftermarket EBITDA, and aggressive M&A support 14–15% expected annual returns, with risk hedged on $30B gross debt.